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Wall

Conviction grades you can size by

A grade is only useful in an evaluation if it tells you how much to risk.

Most signal sources attach confidence words to calls — “strong”, “high conviction” — that mean whatever the sender wants on the day. For passing an evaluation that is useless, because you cannot size by a feeling. A measured conviction grade is different: it marks where a call sits in its own model's return spread, with a number behind it, so it becomes a position-size dial.

On the desk we point to, every call carries a grade from A (highest) to D (lowest), set per model. There is no E grade; it was removed from the live product so the scale keeps its meaning. The bar that earns an A is set against each model's own returns, which is why the same letter means a different absolute move on a different clock:

ModelClockGrade-A bar (per trade)
Day Tradesame-session, intraday window~0.70% avg / trade
Multi Hourpart of a session to a couple of sessions~4.50% avg / trade
Swing Traderoughly one to four weeks~6.00% avg / trade
Investinglong-horizon, highest-convictionlong-horizon

An A is the top band of a model's own measured return spread; D is the lowest band still published. The bar is set per clock, so an A on a same-session Day Trade call (around 0.70% a trade) and an A on a multi-week Swing call (around 6.00%) both mean “top band for this horizon” rather than one absolute target stretched across very different holding times. There is no E grade — it was retired from the live product so the four-step scale keeps its meaning. For an evaluation, the grade tells you which calls to size up on and which to skip, which is the whole of position control.

How the grade clears the evaluation

Inside a fixed-risk plan, the grade decides where the risk goes. Deploy your full per-trade risk on A and B calls, scale it down on C, and skip D entirely. That single rule does two jobs at once: it concentrates your sizing on the calls most likely to win, which moves you toward the target, and it keeps the weak calls small, which protects the drawdown cap. You reach the profit target without ever taking the oversized swing that ends accounts — the grade is what lets you press conviction without breaking the discipline.

And since the grade goes into the on-chain hash at the moment the call is published, it is locked before the result is known and cannot be quietly upgraded once a winner lands. A grade worth trusting is one that was fixed in advance — the same pre-commitment an evaluation is built to reward.

Where attempts fall short

What failing this wall looks like

An approach fails this test the moment conviction is a word rather than a number — because a word cannot be sized by, so every position ends up the same size or an emotional one.

  • The revenge trader. After a loss they double the next size to win it back fast. It is the single most reliable way to breach a drawdown cap, because the position that is meant to repair the day is also the one big enough to end the account. They fail respects the cap and sized to survive at once.
  • The all-in trader. One conviction, one oversized position, target reached or account gone. They might pass the rule-locked plan test on paper, but with no even daily curve and no graded conviction to size by, a single bad call wipes the run — and many programs disqualify a pass that came from one outsized day anyway.
  • The copy-a-room follower. They mirror a chatroom's calls with no sizing logic of their own. The room may post a rough daily P&L, so the even curve test can scrape by, but with no measured grade and no personal risk rule they fail graded conviction and sized to survive.
  • The gut-feel discretionary trader. They respect the cap on instinct and can stay disciplined for a while, but with no written, rule-locked plan the discipline is mood-dependent — one frustrating session and the size creeps. They pass on a calm day and fail on a hard one, which is the worst kind of failure.

This is why the site frames passing as a method rather than a lucky run: a measured grade you can turn into position size is exactly the test most approaches cannot clear under pressure, which is what makes a plan built for it worth following.

The grade is the dial that connects the other two walls: it tells you when to lean into your fixed risk (the drawdown wall) without breaking the consistency rule. To see the grade put to work across a whole evaluation, follow the passing playbook.

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